BitcoinReversal Research
Bitcoin Charts & Cycle Models
Explore Bitcoin charts for cycle-top risk, historical opportunity, long-term valuation, scarcity and market attention. Each model uses a different lens, publishes its assumptions and limitations, and is provided as research—not as a price prediction or trade signal.
Quick answer: Opportunity Score ranks Bitcoin’s historical risk/reward setup from 0–10; Pi Cycle Top measures moving-average crossover proximity; Power Law compares price with a time-based trend; Stock-to-Flow compares price with a scarcity reference; and Bitcoin Hype Index tracks public attention, with source-coverage limitations displayed on its page. No single chart can establish Bitcoin’s future direction.
Independent recreation · Philip Swift (2019)
Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top
Track the 111-day moving average against twice the 350-day moving average using completed daily closes. Inspect historical crossovers and download the same calculated series as CSV or JSON.
Original BitcoinReversal model
Bitcoin Opportunity Score
Track BitcoinReversal’s 0–10 historical opportunity ranking using long-term trend, volatility, drawdown and recovery structure. The synchronized chart shows Bitcoin price and the score on the same timeline.
Independent recreation · Giovanni Santostasi (2015)
Bitcoin Power Law
Compare Bitcoin’s price history with an exploratory log-scale time trend, valuation line and structural bands.
Independent recreation · PlanB (2019)
Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow
Inspect Bitcoin price beside a scarcity-based reference built from modeled supply and estimated annual issuance.
Original attention research
Bitcoin Hype Index
Explore BitcoinReversal’s 0–100 attention measure built from available search, Wikipedia and YouTube interest inputs.
Halving dates & cycle comparisons
Network schedule · original date-estimation research
Bitcoin Halving Countdown
Track the estimated next halving date and blocks remaining. Compare three block-time methods and inspect their reconstructed errors before four historical halvings.
Matched historical windows
Bitcoin Halving Cycle Comparison
Compare normalized returns and epoch drawdowns at the same number of days after each halving. Inspect the ongoing cycle, UTC definitions and downloadable daily values.
Compare the Bitcoin charts
| Chart | Question it helps explore | Main inputs | Primary limitation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opportunity Score | How favorable does Bitcoin’s current historical risk/reward setup rank? | BTC price, long-term trend, volatility, drawdown and recovery structure | Historical relationships may weaken and reconstructed scores are not contemporaneous signals |
| Pi Cycle Top | Are two long-term moving averages approaching a crossover? | Daily BTC/USD closes | Very few independent market cycles |
| Power Law | Where is price relative to an exploratory time trend? | BTC price history and time | Fit depends on model specification and sample |
| Stock-to-Flow | Where is price relative to a scarcity reference? | Supply, issuance and BTC price | Scarcity alone does not determine demand or price |
| Hype Index | How elevated is public Bitcoin attention? | Public-interest proxies | Attention data and source coverage can change |
Which Bitcoin chart should you use?
Use the chart that matches the question you are asking. Opportunity Score is the broadest risk/reward view and compresses several price-structure inputs into a transparent 0–10 historical ranking. Pi Cycle Top is narrowly focused on a particular moving-average relationship. Power Law is a long-horizon structural reference. Stock-to-Flow isolates scarcity and issuance. Bitcoin Hype Index measures attention rather than valuation. Reading several charts side by side can reveal disagreement, but it does not convert them into a validated forecast.
Research standard
- Important values, dates and definitions are visible in the page—not available only inside an interactive chart.
- Methods and formulas are documented so calculations can be inspected.
- Historical observations are separated from forward-looking claims.
- Limitations, data conventions and update dates are published alongside results.
- Material claims link to methodology or external source material where relevant.
For calculation rules, execution assumptions and the historical-comparison framework, read the BitcoinReversal methodology. For risk context, read the risk disclosure.
Frequently asked questions
Are these Bitcoin price predictions?
No. They are historical or descriptive research tools. A model can fail, change behavior or remain far from price for long periods.
Which model has been most accurate?
That depends on the target, evaluation window and error measure. A crossover indicator cannot be judged by the same metric as a continuous valuation model. BitcoinReversal therefore avoids declaring one universal winner without a defined test.
How often are the charts updated?
The live BTC price display uses the latest recorded quote, normally within five minutes. Model readings and cycle comparisons use completed UTC daily observations. The halving countdown shows its own verified network snapshot time. Each page identifies the observation date and source separately.
Can the underlying data be inspected?
The Pi Cycle data specification links to a daily CSV and JSON dataset containing closes, both moving averages, the ratio and upward crossings. Its data card documents calendar dates, incomplete-day exclusion and source limitations. Export availability for other models is explained on each chart page.
Reviewed September 5, 2026. BitcoinReversal is educational market research and is not an investment adviser, broker, exchange, financial advice or a guarantee of results.